Saturday, January 17, 2009

What to Make of Saad bin Laden

Today came another story about Saad bin Laden, son of Osama, fleeing house arrest in Iran to presumably light in Pakistan with pops. This same story was released back in September but apparently it didn't sink in with all the campaign spin whirling around, such as Obama and Biden vowing to kill certain members of the bin Laden harem and send them to a roasted eternity.

CNN's story mentioned that his move might allow us a better opportunity to catch him in Pakistan rather than Iran. True perhaps, but at the same time we haven't been able to catch either Osama or Zawahiri in Pakistan (assuming they are there). We did capture relatives Ramzi Yousef and KSM along with Abu Zubaydah there, so there's hope. No doubt he'd make a interesting and useful capture, treated of course by Army Field Manual guidelines unless Barack decides to exercise the exception. Is 20 hours a day of Slim Whitman still considered torture?

Speculation time. First wild stab...assuming he didn't really escape (does anyone believe that?) then he was purposely expelled. Why? Were they keeping him as protection against a US or Israeli strike? If so, does that mean the chance of a strike has now shrunk considerably towards zero? That could explain why Israel decided to go after Hamas and not Natanz.

Or, was Saad actually an emissary for AQ to Persia? Both Zawahiri and bin Laden have lately called for increased jihad over Gaza and we know Iran has funded and equipped both Hamas and Hizballah. But why the expulsion now? Something big coming, perhaps?

At the same time, if they were holding Saad as a chip to prevent attack does that mean the chance of an AQ hit against Iran has become unlikely? Or was this just a humanitarian gesture to allow son to see a possible ailing father?

Or was he ever even there?

Heck, I don't know. Maybe Scott Ritter knows.

2 comments:

LASunsett said...

//Heck, I don't know. Maybe Scott Ritter knows.//

One sentence, saturated in sarcasm. Brilliant. I love it.

Internet minor child chaser Mr. Ritter is actually so dumb that he thinks asphalt is a rectal disorder.

A.C. McCloud said...

Ritter was the guy who quit UNSCOM in 1998 because he didn't think the Clinton Admin was doing enough to disarm the dictator. Then suddenly be becomes the dictator's pal. Not just him though, several former inspectors appear to be a little off balance.